Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000674 0.000772 0.000877 0.000995 0.001126 0.001265 0.001425
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000524 0.000660 0.000815 0.001003 0.001224 0.001472 0.001772
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000429 0.000577 0.000754 0.000978 0.001252 0.001572 0.001970
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000353 0.000506 0.000697 0.000949 0.001267 0.001650 0.002140
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000306 0.000464 0.000668 0.000946 0.001308 0.001755 0.002341
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000268 0.000428 0.000643 0.000945 0.001348 0.001857 0.002537
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000234 0.000392 0.000614 0.000933 0.001371 0.001935 0.002703
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000202 0.000357 0.000581 0.000914 0.001381 0.001996 0.002846
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000186 0.000344 0.000578 0.000935 0.001444 0.002125 0.003081
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000171 0.000330 0.000573 0.000951 0.001500 0.002246 0.003307
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000150 0.000304 0.000547 0.000934 0.001510 0.002303 0.003446
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000131 0.000279 0.000520 0.000914 0.001511 0.002347 0.003569
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000118 0.000264 0.000508 0.000917 0.001547 0.002443 0.003765
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000252 0.000502 0.000927 0.001594 0.002554 0.003988
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000093 0.000230 0.000475 0.000903 0.001587 0.002588 0.004100
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000209 0.000447 0.000876 0.001574 0.002610 0.004195
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000197 0.000435 0.000873 0.001598 0.002688 0.004371
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000186 0.000425 0.000872 0.001624 0.002768 0.004552
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000173 0.000409 0.000861 0.001633 0.002822 0.004695
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000159 0.000390 0.000843 0.001631 0.002858 0.004811
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000156 0.000392 0.000862 0.001689 0.002989 0.005071
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000152 0.000392 0.000877 0.001741 0.003110 0.005318
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000038 0.000141 0.000376 0.000862 0.001740 0.003149 0.005442